GEO logo

GEO Group
GEO

Last Price

Financial Snapshot

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Market Data

Market Cap
$2.54B
EV
$3.98B
Shares Outstanding
136.75M
Beta
0.73
Industry
Security & Protection Services

Wall Street View

Analyst Rating
BUY
Analyst Target Price
Number of Analysts
4
P/E 2025E
8.82x
P/Revenue 2025E
0.89x

Historical 3Y Growth Rate

Revenue
EPS
Operating Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow

Forecasted 3Y Growth Rate

Revenue
EPS
Operating Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow

Margins & Returns

Gross Margin 2025E
26.00%
Net Profit Margin 2025E
10.21%
ROE 2025E
16.50%
ROCE 2024
2.27%

Dividends

DPS 2025E
-
Payout Ratio 2025E
-
Div. Yield 2025E
-
DPS Last 3Y CAGR

Price Dynamic

Price

%

1M

3M

6M

1Y

3Y

5Y

Peers

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About The GEO Group, Inc.

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GEO logo

The GEO Group, Inc.

GEO

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South A...

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Security & Protection Services

CEO

Donahue, J.

Employees

16,500

IPO Date

1994-07-27

Headquarters

4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, Florida, 33431, United States

📊 Stock Price & Performance

The last closing price of GEO Group (GEO) is $16.82, reflecting a -9.33% change from the prior session. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 4:01 PM Eastern Time

Review of Recent GEO Stock Performance trends:Past 1 Month: GEO Group (GEO) shares changed by +3.07%.Past 3 Months: The stock recorded a change of -2.66%.Past 6 Months: GEO shares posted a change of -35.59%. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 4:12 PM Eastern Time

Over the last year, GEO Group (GEO) has established a 52-week price range between a high of $33.24 and a low of $14.27. This metric is essential for assessing the stock's annual volatility. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 4:12 PM Eastern Time

GEO Group (GEO) is considered a medium volatility stock. It has a beta of 0.73, which means it typically moves 0.73 times as much as the broader market. Over the past 52 weeks, GEO has traded within a $14.27 – $33.24 range. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 4:12 PM Eastern Time

Based on current GEO analyst forecasts, the consensus price target for GEO Group (GEO) is $32.25 for 2027. Relative to the current price of $16.82, this implies a positive upside of +91.85%. Price targets reflect forward-looking estimates based on information available at the time and are inherently subject to change as underlying assumptions, company fundamentals, or market conditions evolve. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 4:12 PM Eastern Time

A $1,000 investment in GEO Group 5 years ago, when the stock was trading around $7.41, would be worth approximately $2268.44 today, based solely on share price performance (excluding dividends). This represents a total return of 126.84% over the period, equivalent to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.80%. Past performance reflects historical price movements only and does not imply future results. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 4:12 PM Eastern Time

💰 Financial Metrics & Reports

The current GEO Group (GEO) market capitalization is approximately $2.54B, based on its latest share price and shares outstanding. Market capitalization represents the total market value of a company's equity and is calculated by multiplying the current stock price by the number of shares outstanding. As a result, GEO Group's market cap fluctuates with changes in its share price and share count. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 4:12 PM Eastern Time

In the most recently reported quarter, GEO Group (GEO) generated $682.34M in revenue, representing a +13.13% year over year change. For the next quarter, analyst consensus currently expects revenue of approximately $667.23M, implying an expected +9.79% year over year change. Quarterly revenue results and expectations reflect underlying demand trends, pricing dynamics, product or service mix, seasonality, and broader macroeconomic conditions. Actual results may differ from consensus estimates as new information becomes available. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 8:32 PM Eastern Time

In the most recently reported fiscal year, GEO Group (GEO) generated net income of $31.97M, compared with $113.99M in the prior fiscal year, representing a -71.96% year over year change. For the upcoming fiscal year, analyst consensus currently estimates net income of $264.37M. Net income may be positive or negative and can fluctuate materially from year to year due to changes in operating performance, non-recurring or one-time items, accounting treatments, capital structure, and broader macroeconomic conditions. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 8:32 PM Eastern Time

According to its latest quarterly filing, GEO Group (GEO) reported EBITDA of $120.09M, representing a +1.23% year over year change. For the upcoming quarter, analyst consensus currently expects EBITDA of $120.31M, reflecting assumptions around revenue trends, operating costs, scale efficiencies, and margin dynamics. EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure and does not account for depreciation, amortization, interest expense, taxes, or capital expenditures. As a result, it should be considered alongside other financial metrics when assessing operating performance. Actual results may differ from estimates as company-specific or macroeconomic conditions evolve. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 8:32 PM Eastern Time

As of the most recent reporting period, the company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.07x, calculated as total debt divided by total shareholders' equity. A lower debt-to-equity ratio generally indicates a more conservative capital structure with less reliance on external borrowing, while a higher ratio suggests greater financial leverage and potentially higher sensitivity to interest rates, refinancing conditions, and earnings volatility. The debt-to-equity ratio should be interpreted in the context of the company's industry, business model, cash flow stability, and balance sheet composition. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 8:32 PM Eastern Time

Based on the latest available data, GEO Group (GEO) is currently trading at a last twelve months (LTM) P/E ratio of 9.89x. Looking forward, the stock trades at a next twelve months (NTM) P/E ratio of 14.88x, based on consensus earnings estimates. The P/E ratio reflects how much investors are willing to pay today for a dollar of earnings and can vary meaningfully over time due to changes in profitability, growth expectations, margin outlook, and earnings volatility. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 8:32 PM Eastern Time

📅 Earnings & Dividends

GEO Group (GEO) is currently scheduled to report its next earnings results on February 11, 2026. Earnings dates are subject to change and may be updated by the company with limited notice. Investors typically monitor upcoming earnings releases closely, as they can result in increased volatility depending on reported results, forward guidance, and management commentary. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 4:12 PM Eastern Time

In the most recently reported quarter, GEO Group (GEO) revenue was $682.34M, compared with analyst consensus expectations of $665.81M, representing a +2.48% revenue surprise versus expectations. Earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were $1.24, compared with consensus estimates of $0.78, resulting in an +58.97% EPS surprise. Revenue and EPS surprises may be positive or negative and can influence near-term stock performance depending on expectations, forward guidance, and broader market and sector conditions. For a detailed history of analyst expectations versus reported results, view the full estimates vs. actuals track record here: 👉 Estimates vs. Actuals Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 8:32 PM Eastern Time

GEO Group's (GEO) earnings reports, including quarterly and annual financial statements, are available through the company's official regulatory filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). On Gainify, you can access GEO Group's full set of filings, including earnings releases, Form 10-Q, Form 10-K, and other disclosures, in one place: GEO Group SEC Filings These filings provide detailed information on GEO Group's financial performance and are considered the primary source of verified financial data for publicly traded companies.

GEO Group (GEO) does not currently pay a dividend. Over the last twelve months (LTM), the company paid $0.00 per share in dividends, and no dividend payments are currently expected over the next twelve months (NTM). Companies that do not pay dividends typically prioritize reinvesting cash into growth initiatives, capital expenditures, debt reduction, or strategic investments, though dividend policy may change in the future. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 8:32 PM Eastern Time

📈 Analyst Information

Analyst assessments of whether GEO Group (GEO) consensus price target is overvalued or undervalued are generally expressed relative to consensus valuation frameworks and price targets, rather than as an absolute judgment.Current share price: $16.82Consensus price target: $32.25Implied return: +91.85% An implied return above current levels indicates that, on average, analysts view the stock as trading below their estimated fair value. Conversely, an implied return below current levels suggests the stock may be fully valued or priced above consensus expectations. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 8:32 PM Eastern Time

Based on the latest available analyst coverage, GEO Group (GEO) currently carries a Buy consensus rating. Analysts' average GEO price target is $32.25. Relative to the current share price of $16.82, this suggests a potential price change of approximately +91.85%. Analyst views are forward-looking estimates and should not be considered investment advice. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 8:32 PM Eastern Time

Like other publicly traded stocks, GEO Group (GEO) shares are bought and sold on stock exchanges such as NYSE and other supported markets, depending on the listing. The most common way to buy shares is through an online brokerage account. To get started, you typically need to: Open an account with a licensed stock brokerComplete the broker's verification processFund your accountPlace a buy order for GEO Group (GEO) shares Trading involves risk, and investors should consider their financial objectives and risk tolerance before investing.

ℹ️ Company Information

At the top right of this page, you'll see a star icon labeled Add to watchlist. Click it to add GEO to your watchlist.

GEO Group trades under the ticker symbol GEO on the NYSE stock exchange. The ticker GEO is used to identify the company's common stock across trading platforms, market data providers, and regulatory filings.

As of the most recently reported period, GEO Group (GEO) employs approximately 16,500 people worldwide. Reported employee figures may fluctuate over time due to hiring activity, restructuring, automation initiatives, or changes in business strategy. Headcount data is typically disclosed in company filings and reflects full-time employees unless otherwise stated. Last updated: January 26, 2026 at 4:12 PM Eastern Time

GEO Group (GEO) operates in a highly competitive market with companies that often have different business models, geographic exposure, and end markets. While no two companies are identical, the following firms are generally considered the closest GEO Group (GEO) stock peers based on overlapping products, services, and competitive dynamics:CoreCivic (CXW)Alsok (2331)S-1 (A012750)SECOM (9735)Serco Group (SRP)Toyo Tec (9686) These peers may differ in size, business mix, financial profile, and strategic focus, but they are commonly referenced due to overlapping markets, customer segments, or competitive positioning relative to GEO Group.

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Market data is sourced from S&P Global Market Intelligence. All insights and analysis are developed by Gainify. Copyright © 2026, S&P Global Market Intelligence. All rights reserved.

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